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2026 Prediction: AI Will Expose Leadership — and Reward Those Who Build Human Judgment Around It

·4 min read·Rachel Marcuse

By now, most organizations are using AI in some form. Tools are embedded in workflows, pilots are underway, and experimentation is widespread.

And yet, executives are voicing a growing frustration:

AI is moving faster than our ability to decide how — and when — to use it well.

The dominant narrative has focused on adoption: which tools, which use cases, which teams move first. But heading into 2026, a different reality is coming into focus.

The differentiator won’t be AI capability.
It will be leadership judgment around AI.


Why AI Is Forcing a Leadership Reckoning

AI doesn’t just automate tasks. It changes:

  • How decisions get made
  • Who has access to information
  • The speed at which work moves
  • The visibility of tradeoffs and risk

Research from McKinsey shows that poor decision-making and misalignment are among the largest drags on organizational performance — far outweighing lack of data or analytical sophistication. AI amplifies this dynamic: more information, faster output, higher stakes (McKinsey, The Case for Better Decision Making).

At the same time, labor-market research summarized by MIT economists Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo shows that demand is rising fastest for skills that complement AI — critical thinking, coordination, and judgment — not just technical AI skills (MIT summary).

The implication for 2026 is stark:
AI raises the cost of poor leadership.


The Real Gap: Not AI Fluency, but AI Judgment

Most organizations are not struggling to get AI into the building. They’re struggling with questions like:

  • When should we trust the output — and when shouldn’t we?
  • Who is accountable when AI informs a decision?
  • How do we balance speed with ethics, accuracy, and inclusion?
  • How do leaders model appropriate AI use without freezing progress?

These are not technical questions. They are leadership questions.

This is why the World Economic Forum continues to rank analytical thinking, leadership, resilience, and social influence among the most critical future skills — alongside AI and data literacy, not beneath them (World Economic Forum, Future of Jobs Report).


How Organizations Actually Build AI Leadership Capacity

AI leadership is not built in classrooms or policy documents alone. It’s built through exposure, participation, and reflection — applied directly to real AI-enabled work.

Here’s what that looks like in practice.

1. Being in the room where AI decisions are made

Leaders build judgment by participating in real conversations where AI is shaping outcomes:

  • Reviewing AI-informed recommendations
  • Debating tradeoffs between speed, risk, and accuracy
  • Deciding when human override is required

This is where leaders start to see how AI actually behaves in context — not in theory.

2. Debriefing AI moments, not just outcomes

The learning happens after:

  • Why did we trust this output?
  • Where did assumptions creep in?
  • What signals did we miss?
  • How did power or urgency shape the decision?

This debriefing turns AI use from experimentation into institutional learning.

3. Naming the human dynamics AI surfaces

AI doesn’t remove human dynamics — it exposes them.

Organizations that build AI maturity develop shared language for:

  • Accountability when AI is involved
  • Risk tolerance and escalation
  • Bias, transparency, and trust
  • Decision rights in hybrid human-AI workflows

Without this, AI adoption creates confusion, not clarity.

4. Practicing leadership judgment under AI-accelerated conditions

Leaders develop AI judgment by making real calls:

  • When to deploy
  • When to pause
  • When to override
  • When to redesign the system itself

And then reflecting on the consequences.

This is slower than rolling out tools. It’s also what prevents AI from becoming either reckless or performative.

This is the work we tend to do at Alongside Advisors: working alongside leaders inside real AI-shaped decisions, helping teams slow down just enough to see how judgment is being exercised — and how it can be strengthened — while the work continues.


What Will Separate Organizations in 2026

By the end of 2026, nearly every organization will be “using AI.”

The separation will come from something subtler.

The organizations that thrive will be those that:

  • Treat AI judgment as a leadership capability, not an individual trait
  • Build shared norms for deciding with AI, not just deploying it
  • Invest in reflection and learning at the same pace as adoption

AI will keep accelerating work.

Human leadership will determine whether that acceleration creates advantage — or instability.

That is the defining workforce trend of 2026.

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